Estate Tax Update - One Year Extension Seems Likely

Even though the House passed a measure for a permanent extension of the estate tax at a $3.5 million dollar exemption per person, sources are reporting that the Senate is looking to push through a one-year extension by year end.  This would mean that the estate tax exemption would be $3.5 million per person in 2010, but still come back at a $1 million exemption in 2011.

Elder Law Answers reports that "Congressional watchers are coalescing around the prediction that the Senate will likely pass a one-year extension of the estate tax before year's end -- probably as part of a defense spending bill."  It cites in in-depth discussion at OMB Watch why the Senate won't likely move for a permanent resolution in the way of the House.  OMB Watch notes "The other option is for the Democratic leadership to tack a one-year estate tax extension onto a likely omnibus appropriations bill that insiders say Congress will pass before the end of 2009."

CNN Money concurs with the one year extension, advising "The Senate is likely to rally around a short-term fix and pass a one-year extension of the tax at 2009 levels by Dec. 31."  Hani Sarji at his blog reports that the House is now even expecting a one year patch, their recent legislation notwithstanding "'According to House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, estate state tax fix may be temporary and may be attached to defense spending bill".

Why all this pressure?  Well, besides the financial incentive in certain circles for mom and dad not to survive 2010 intact, a permanent change to a $3.5 million exemption would actually add to the deficit.  CNN Money clarifies this point:

The House bill would increase the deficit by $234 billion over 10 years, according to the Joint Committee on Taxation. That's because even though current law would repeal the tax for one year, it reinstates it by 2011 at an exemption level of just $1 million, which would mean an increasing number of estates would be subject to the tax as years went by."

 $234,000,000,000.00 - That is a lot of zeros to be giving up at a time the government is broke.  So expect a push for the real question of estate tax reform, not a patch, into 2010.

 Photo courtesy Francesco Mariano

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Income Tax Extension - March 31, 2010 10:08 AM

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